The pandemic winners among developed market stocks, almost all tech firms, are now household names, with the likes of Zoom helping to transform our working and personal lives and Tesla becoming a retail-investor favourite, recording staggering share...

Most would agree that economic stress, and specifically unemployment, breeds populism, and in extreme cases, radicalisation and insecurity. It is the EM echo of the message from Bill Clinton's 1992 election strategist James Carville, "It's the econom...

Jumia is known as the Amazon of Africa. Sea’s exponential rise has made it the largest company in ASEAN, a region of 600mn people. We identified Fawry as an EM tech stock to watch in July 2020, when the pre-unicorn company had a market cap of US$735m...

Already in 2020, we have seen a large number of sovereign defaults, notably in Argentina, Belize, Ecuador, Lebanon, Suriname and Zambia. Meanwhile, Bahrain (+9ppt to 137%), Brazil (+2ppt to 104%) and South Africa (+6ppt to 85%) see more modest increa...

It’s a sit up and pay attention moment when emerging markets run a collective fiscal deficit of some 10% of GDP. We explore further and assess the risks. It is also a year in which there will be some upward pressure on core rates, but not too much. T...

There are a number of elections of importance in smaller emerging and frontier markets in 2021. The general election, delayed by a year, on the pretext of Covid-19, is likely to occur in a highly sensitive political environment, as a result of the on...