Ghana: Bond collapse opens value opportunity amid risks
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Ghana eurobond yields have rocketed to 20% as twin shocks of war and rates add to pre-existing fiscal concerns
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Fiscal and BOP developments also underwhelm, while high inflation (28% yoy) poses a policy dilemma
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But prices (cUS$52 for '32s) are now in line with even our more pessimistic recovery values; upgrade to Buy
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This report is independent investment research as contemplated by COBS 12.2 of the FCA Handbook and is a research recommendation under COBS 12.4 of the FCA Handbook. Where it is not technically a research recommendation because the subject of the research is not listed on any European exchange, it has nevertheless been treated as a research recommendation to ensure consistent treatment of all Tellimer's research. This report has been produced by the analyst(s) named above (the "Analyst").
The Analyst certifies that the views and forecasts expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject, securities, or issuers specified herein. In addition, the Analyst certifies that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.