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Fitch revises Uganda's outlook, Zambian kwacha outperforming in Q2
After closing Monday’s session flat amid thin liquidity conditions due to a bank holiday in the US, the USD has edged lower this morning as markets remain focused on posturing from major central banks on the path of monetary policy. Volatility is als...
FOMC rate decision to steal the show, East African countries ramp up spending
The direction of the USD and currency markets will depend on tonight’s FOMC rate decision and the forward guidance provided in the policy statement. Given how much is riding on the outcome of the FOMC meeting, we expect trade conditions to be thin to...
Flash Report /
Ukraine
Ukraine's government seeks more aid as Q1 GDP falls by one-fifth
Ukraine’s real GDP fell by one-fifth in Q1, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, according to new data published by the State Statistics Committee on 9 June. The war, which began in late February, would have impacted c40% of the quarter. Ukraine r...


Political risks weigh on Kenyan assets, Egypt pays down $24bn in foreign debt
Gold slipped overnight following an announcement by the ECB that they plan to raise rates in July by 25 bpts and cease its asset purchase programme. The positive balance was mainly driven by an annualized trade surplus that widened to R360bn due to g...
Ghana's fiscal turnaround could take a decade, EMs suffer another outflow in May
A Russian airstrike hit a freight railcar repair factory in the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv, this is after Putin promised to facilitate the export of grain from Ukraine amid a worsening global food shortage and inflation crisis. To combat the issue of ...
Fiscal alarms ring in Kenya and Ethiopia, foreign investment into Nigeria falls
US bond yields slipped overnight, and the 10yr vs 2yr bond spread has flattened. With so much tightening already priced into the USD, and given its overvaluation, it is especially vulnerable to a correction, something emerging market currencies could...