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Latest articles in Ukraine

Ukraine: What lies behind the Russian escalation

Recent weeks have seen a build-up of Russian military forces on Ukraine’s borders and in illegally occupied Crimea, with not only an escalation of tensions and rhetoric, but also an increase in fighting and fatalities, on both sides. What lies behind...
Tellimer Research Stuart
Stuart Culverhouse @ Tellimer Research 16 April 2021
Ukraine: What lies behind the Russian escalation
Ukraine: What lies behind the Russian escalation

Disappointing Economic News in Europe, Elevated Geo-Political Risks, and Rising Yields Help the Greenback Recover

Overview: The dollar has come back bid. A disappointing and unexpected increase in the US weekly jobless claims pressed yields lower, with the 10-year falling a two-week low and seemingly dragging the greenback with it. Part of this is a base effect,...
Marc to Market
Marc to Market 9 April 2021
Disappointing Economic News in Europe,  Elevated Geo-Political Risks, and Rising Yields Help the Greenback Recover
Disappointing Economic News in Europe,  Elevated Geo-Political Risks, and Rising Yields Help the Greenback Recover

IMF: Weakening fiscal balance sheets biggest concern for EM beyond 2021

Emerging and Developing Asia (+8.6% in 2021; +6.0% in 2022) remain the growth locomotive of the emerging and developing world. Given the recent rise in core rate yields, tighter financial conditions pose a noteworthy risk to the recovery. EM Asia is ...
ING Think
ING Think 8 April 2021
IMF: Weakening fiscal balance sheets biggest concern for EM beyond 2021
IMF: Weakening fiscal balance sheets biggest concern for EM beyond 2021

EM Credit: Attacked from the core

A concession has built in emerging markets. However, the higher rates narrative is not over. The dominant influence on credit market performance so far in 2021 has come from the ratchet higher in core bonds yields. A broadening in global recoveries t...
ING Think
ING Think 16 March 2021
EM Credit: Attacked from the core
EM Credit: Attacked from the core

Remittances very strong for some, but not all, emerging markets

Remittances proved far stronger for some countries in emerging and frontier than others in 2020. Our observations from around 20 emerging and frontier countries where remittance data is available for 2020 are in this report. We have discussed before ...
Tellimer Research Hasnain
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 14 March 2021
Remittances very strong for some, but not all, emerging markets
Remittances very strong for some, but not all, emerging markets

Ukraine's central bank surprises with an early rate hike

The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) raised its policy rate by 50bps to 6.5% yesterday in a surprise move as it expects inflation to rise further away from target in the near term. In its statement yesterday, the NBU noted that it expects inflation to ...
Tellimer Research Stuart
Stuart Culverhouse @ Tellimer Research 5 March 2021
Ukraine's central bank surprises with an early rate hike
Ukraine's central bank surprises with an early rate hike