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Latest articles in Ukraine
Ukraine: What lies behind the Russian escalation
Recent weeks have seen a build-up of Russian military forces on Ukraine’s borders and in illegally occupied Crimea, with not only an escalation of tensions and rhetoric, but also an increase in fighting and fatalities, on both sides. What lies behind...


Disappointing Economic News in Europe, Elevated Geo-Political Risks, and Rising Yields Help the Greenback Recover
Overview: The dollar has come back bid. A disappointing and unexpected increase in the US weekly jobless claims pressed yields lower, with the 10-year falling a two-week low and seemingly dragging the greenback with it. Part of this is a base effect,...


IMF: Weakening fiscal balance sheets biggest concern for EM beyond 2021
Emerging and Developing Asia (+8.6% in 2021; +6.0% in 2022) remain the growth locomotive of the emerging and developing world. Given the recent rise in core rate yields, tighter financial conditions pose a noteworthy risk to the recovery. EM Asia is ...


EM Credit: Attacked from the core
A concession has built in emerging markets. However, the higher rates narrative is not over. The dominant influence on credit market performance so far in 2021 has come from the ratchet higher in core bonds yields. A broadening in global recoveries t...


Remittances very strong for some, but not all, emerging markets
Remittances proved far stronger for some countries in emerging and frontier than others in 2020. Our observations from around 20 emerging and frontier countries where remittance data is available for 2020 are in this report. We have discussed before ...


Ukraine's central bank surprises with an early rate hike
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) raised its policy rate by 50bps to 6.5% yesterday in a surprise move as it expects inflation to rise further away from target in the near term. In its statement yesterday, the NBU noted that it expects inflation to ...

