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Jobs matter more than votes: ESG pointers from Tunisia and Lebanon

Tellimer Research Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research
Hasnain Malik @
Tellimer Research
18 January 2021

Ukraine's winners and losers from the post-US election rally

Kiti Pantskhava 4 December 2020

EM sovereign bond issuance highest since April, but High Yield still lags

Stuart Culverhouse 1 December 2020

Remittances: Better than feared so far (in two charts)

Hasnain Malik 17 September 2020

EM central bank firepower (in one chart)

Hasnain Malik 14 September 2020
Latest articles in Ukraine

Jobs matter more than votes: ESG pointers from Tunisia and Lebanon

Most would agree that economic stress, and specifically unemployment, breeds populism, and in extreme cases, radicalisation and insecurity. It is the EM echo of the message from Bill Clinton's 1992 election strategist James Carville, "It's the econom...
Tellimer Research Hasnain Malik
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 18 January 2021
Jobs matter more than votes: ESG pointers from Tunisia and Lebanon
Jobs matter more than votes: ESG pointers from Tunisia and Lebanon

Bitcoin rally to drive central bank digital currency… even before the collapse

The story of James Howells is remarkable. All this institutional interest and enthusiasm for Bitcoin price appreciation means that Bitcoin, and perhaps other cryptocurrencies, are likely to have a place in the financial system now and into the future...
Tellimer Research Paul Domjan
Paul Domjan @ Tellimer Research 16 January 2021
Bitcoin rally to drive central bank digital currency… even before the collapse
Bitcoin rally to drive central bank digital currency… even before the collapse

EM Sovereigns: Debt sustainability remains a concern but will only become acute for some

Already in 2020, we have seen a large number of sovereign defaults, notably in Argentina, Belize, Ecuador, Lebanon, Suriname and Zambia. Meanwhile, Bahrain (+9ppt to 137%), Brazil (+2ppt to 104%) and South Africa (+6ppt to 85%) see more modest increa...
ING Think
ING Think 7 January 2021
EM Sovereigns: Debt sustainability remains a concern but will only become acute for some
EM Sovereigns: Debt sustainability remains a concern but will only become acute for some

Ukraine: 2021 trade to watch

Ukraine (B3/B/B), on which we have a Hold, is a trade to watch next year as investors await progress (or otherwise) on the stalled IMF programme review. Ukraine – a high-beta name – has been among the biggest beneficiaries of the year-end rally, with...
Tellimer Research Stuart Culverhouse
Stuart Culverhouse @ Tellimer Research 28 December 2020
Ukraine: 2021 trade to watch
Ukraine: 2021 trade to watch

EM Credit Outlook: Risky Business

It’s a sit up and pay attention moment when emerging markets run a collective fiscal deficit of some 10% of GDP. The year ahead should see the US dollar remain on a weakening trend, a circumstance that cushions emerging market economies in many ways....
ING Think
ING Think 18 December 2020
EM Credit Outlook: Risky Business
EM Credit Outlook: Risky Business

Fixed income strategy: Our top picks for 2021

Our Top 5 picks for 2021 are Buys on Angola, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Sri Lanka and Egypt T-bills. Seven other trades to watch – Ecuador, Pakistan, Ukraine, Turkish local & credit, other HY, local currency. Global tailwinds are expected to continue into...
Tellimer Research Stuart Culverhouse
Stuart Culverhouse @ Tellimer Research 18 December 2020
Fixed income strategy: Our top picks for 2021
Fixed income strategy: Our top picks for 2021