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Turkey: Recession fears are driving the trend in global markets again
Recession fears are driving the trend in global markets again. Risk appetite is still very low. Today we expect another negative opening in the market towards 2,380-2,365 band. Net gold imports realised as US$1.3bn in May’22 (May’21: -US$49mn). Russi...
Economics Chartbook - Downside risks to growth building (3Q22)
Global: GDP growth will probably slow to 3.0% this year (previously 3.3%) and 2.8% next year (from 3.4%). Headwinds from the Russia-Ukraine conflict have combined with COVID-19 lockdowns in China to push inflation up further and slow the pace of econ...
Turkey: We could see wild swing in equities
BRSA restricted commercial lira loans to corporate borrowers if they hold more than 15mn TL ($890,000) in foreign-currencies and if the amount exceeds 10% of total assets or annual sales. Lira appreciated as much as 4.5% against US$ and now is up 2.4...
Turkey: Risk appetite declined significantly
Global markets seems resilient after yesterday’s sharp weaknesses. The risk appetite declined significantly. BIST-100 broke down 2,500 support level yesterday but closed above critical support of 2,468 level. Today reaction buying is likely towards 2...
World Ocean Day and the ESG plastic waste offenders in emerging markets
The annual World Ocean Day on 8 June served as a reminder of the climate change risks that environmental, social and governance (ESG) investors profess to care about so much. Plastic accounts for c12% of global solid waste and this share increases wi...


Turkey’s inflation and balance of payments crisis in charts
President Erdogan and the CBRT have maintained their aversion to rate hikes even as Turkey’s inflation and balance of payments (BOP) dynamics continue to worsen, setting the lira up for continued weakness as tight global financial conditions are exac...

