Most would agree that economic stress, and specifically unemployment, breeds populism, and in extreme cases, radicalisation and insecurity. It is the EM echo of the message from Bill Clinton's 1992 election strategist James Carville, "It's the econom...

Africa is no less geared to the bump in commodity export prices and no less chequered in terms of sluggish reform and accumulation of debt than Latin America, where much more liquidly traded equity market peers have rallied sharply this month. Egypt...

The context for the resignation of the Tunisian Prime Minister this week is an old one, seemingly unchanged since after the 2011 revolution, and it points to the structural political constraints in getting the economy back to sustainable growth and t...

Covid-19 remains a significant economic challenge across the continent. This combination of factors is best demonstrated in Mauritius, the region's worst performer, where the FX rate has depreciated c10% ytd, Moody's sovereign credit outlook was down...

Difficult process of building a Parliamentary coalition of parties to form the government now lays ahead. Moderate Islamist party, Ennahda, faces significant challenges to establish a stable and coherent coalition. We reiterate our view that this rai...

This reinforces our previously published view that there are material risks to the formation of a coherent and empowered coalition following the upcoming Parliamentary election (6 October). In this poll, two candidates not supported by the main Parli...