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Ukraine: What lies behind the Russian escalation

Recent weeks have seen a build-up of Russian military forces on Ukraine’s borders and in illegally occupied Crimea, with not only an escalation of tensions and rhetoric, but also an increase in fighting and fatalities, on both sides. What lies behind...
Tellimer Research Stuart
Stuart Culverhouse @ Tellimer Research 16 April 2021
Ukraine: What lies behind the Russian escalation
Ukraine: What lies behind the Russian escalation

Treasuries: The Dog that Did not Bark

Overview: Like the dog that did not bark, the long-term US yields tumbled despite data that confirms the acceleration of the US economy and labor market. The Australian dollar reached $0.7760 yesterday, its best level since March 19, but is consolida...
Marc to Market
Marc to Market 16 April 2021
Treasuries:  The Dog that Did not Bark
Treasuries:  The Dog that Did not Bark

Russia: Bracing for new sanctions

US media reportedthat the Biden administration may announce today wider Russian sanctions involving both diplomatic measures, such as the expulsion of diplomats, and a ban on the participation of US financial institutions in the primary placement of ...
ING Think
ING Think 15 April 2021
Russia: Bracing for new sanctions
Russia: Bracing for new sanctions

Russia: Double-digit import growth in Q1 presents new risk

Russia’s current account surplus fell not only below expectations but also below the 1Q20 surplus of $23bn despite the average oil price recovering to $60/bbl in 1Q21 from $51/bbl in 1Q20. The y/y difference in the surplus figure corresponds to lower...
Alfa Natalia
Natalia Orlova @ Alfa 13 April 2021

Capital Markets Look for Direction

Overview: Risk appetites have not returned from the weekend. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 has a six-week rally in tow but is off almost 0.25% through the European morning today with all the sectors under waters but utilities. Gao Fu, the Director of China...
Marc to Market
Marc to Market 12 April 2021

Iran and Israel conflict worsens as each tries to shape the next US nuclear deal

Israel's cyberattack against the Natanz nuclear facility in Iran, maritime attack against the Saviz vessel in the Red Sea, and airstrikes against Iranian-linked assets in Syria all point to a more intense phase of conflict with Iran that coincides wi...
Tellimer Research Hasnain
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 12 April 2021
Iran and Israel conflict worsens as each tries to shape the next US nuclear deal
Iran and Israel conflict worsens as each tries to shape the next US nuclear deal