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Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Vermilion Research David
David Nicoski @ Vermilion Research 19 October 2022

CEE Quarterly - Testing resilience ahead of the winter (4Q22)

Europe is heading into a difficult winter, but we believe that CEE can avoid an energy crisis, even if Russia halts all exports of natural gas to Europe. We expect a technical recession in 4Q21-1Q23 caused by high energy prices, circumspect consumers...
UniCredit Elia
Elia Lattuga @ UniCredit 28 September 2022

Data Comment - Romania: inflation probably peaked; risks have not

Annual inflation was 15.3% yoy in August (UniCredit: 15.1%, consensus: 15.2%). Our entire forecast error stemmed from volatile and processed food prices. The prices of imported fruit and eggs rose strongly, despite the strong RON. The increase in pro...
UniCredit Dan
Dan Bucşa @ UniCredit 12 September 2022

EM sovereign bond issuance recovered in August amid challenging conditions

EM hard currency sovereign bond issuance recovered to US$3.1bn in August, after nothing in July. It brings total issuance to US$61.5bn ytd, about half the amount seen in the same period last year. EM sovereign bonds had another challenging month, wit...
Tellimer Research Stuart
Stuart Culverhouse @ Tellimer Research 1 September 2022
EM sovereign bond issuance recovered in August amid challenging conditions
EM sovereign bond issuance recovered in August amid challenging conditions

Misery in emerging markets: Is Sri Lanka the protest canary in the EM coal mine?

Is Sri Lanka the disruptive protest canary in the coal mine of emerging markets? Extremely high misery relative to the last 10-year peak (over 10 percentage points higher) is evident in: Lebanon, Sri Lanka, and Turkey. Turkey — President Erdogan's re...
Tellimer Research Hasnain
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 11 July 2022
Misery in emerging markets: Is Sri Lanka the protest canary in the EM coal mine?
Misery in emerging markets: Is Sri Lanka the protest canary in the EM coal mine?

Daily Credit Briefing

Top Credit Stories BANKS - Termination of coverage CONSUMER - Termination of coverage FINANCIALS - Termination of coverage HIGH YIELD - Termination of coverage: INDUSTRIALS - Termination of coverage  
UniCredit Sven
Sven Kreitmair @ UniCredit 30 June 2022