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OPEC+ decision suits Saudi, US, Russia but no oil price relief for importers
OPEC+ increased its output on 2 June but not by an amount that makes a meaningful dent in global supply. Should China demand growth snap back, in the event that Covid restrictions subside and policy stimulus come into effect, then oil prices could go...


Vital Signs: Actionable charts
PPC, WSTG, AVT, BELFB, QCOM, NC, NRT, AR, PBF, HT, OPCH, HP, PTEN, RCMT, VTNR, AM, LBRT, NEX, PAG, CASA, PTC, CHRW,, glop  
Five emerging market banks that could benefit from investors' greater value bias
In emerging markets, this upheaval has been playing out for longer and with greater severity, with China’s tech woes a key contributor. We think emerging market banks could be key beneficiaries of this transition in investor preferences. We expect a ...


Iran Nuclear Deal might be now or never, but Israel friction will last
The second round of Iran Nuclear Deal negotiations since hardliner Ebrahim Raisi's election are ongoing, but expectations of progress are low. And Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps elite has both survived for so long domestically without sanctions rel...


The emerging market banks that can best hedge equity investors' currency risk
The USD index has risen by 5% so far this year. Comparing banks' net foreign currency position with the over/(under) valuation of currencies against their REER fair values allows us to identify banks offering the best hedging potential. Looking at th...


Emerging market banks: The winners and losers from tighter monetary policy
For ease of reference, we present the results of our analysis at the country level in this report. Greek banks' bottom-line is most sensitive to higher margins; their current margins and profitability remain depressed. But since profit is smaller tha...

