Growth and banking fears plunge oil price back to end-2021 level of low US$70s; we chart trade exposure across EM and DM. Next OPEC ministerial committee meeting in early April with full meeting on 4 June; higher probability of new output cut. Saudi,...

Saudi-GCC (ex-Kuwait) look like China's transformation without the scale, Russia's strategic value without the sanctions. Defensively positioned amid higher US rates and rocky geopolitics: commodity exports, low sovereign debt, solid $ pegs. Positive...

Amid overall gloomy outlook, updated forecasts for 2023 imply bigger gap between faster-growth EM and slower-growth DM. In Large EM, India and Indonesia, and in Small EM, Bangladesh, Kenya, Philippines and Vietnam stand out for fast growth. Rare unch...

100k barrels per day supply cut is small but a signal of intent after the oil price drop of c15% since end July. Compounds the issues of 1.6mbpd of under-production versus quota in August and under 2mbpd of spare Saudi-UAE capacity. We scan EM for ne...

OPEC+ increased its output on 2 June but not by an amount that makes a meaningful dent in global supply. Should China demand growth snap back, in the event that Covid restrictions subside and policy stimulus come into effect, then oil prices could go...