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OPEC+: The major implications of a minor increase

100k barrels per day supply cut is small but a signal of intent after the oil price drop of c15% since end July. Compounds the issues of 1.6mbpd of under-production versus quota in August and under 2mbpd of spare Saudi-UAE capacity. We scan EM for ne...
Tellimer Research Hasnain
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 6 September 2022
OPEC+: The major implications of a minor increase
OPEC+: The major implications of a minor increase

OPEC+ decision suits Saudi, US, Russia but no oil price relief for importers

OPEC+ increased its output on 2 June but not by an amount that makes a meaningful dent in global supply. Should China demand growth snap back, in the event that Covid restrictions subside and policy stimulus come into effect, then oil prices could go...
Tellimer Research Hasnain
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 5 June 2022
OPEC+ decision suits Saudi, US, Russia but no oil price relief for importers
OPEC+ decision suits Saudi, US, Russia but no oil price relief for importers

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

PPC, WSTG, AVT, BELFB, QCOM, NC, NRT, AR, PBF, HT, OPCH, HP, PTEN, RCMT, VTNR, AM, LBRT, NEX, PAG, CASA, PTC, CHRW,, glop  
Vermilion Research David
David Nicoski @ Vermilion Research 29 April 2022

Five emerging market banks that could benefit from investors' greater value bias

In emerging markets, this upheaval has been playing out for longer and with greater severity, with China’s tech woes a key contributor. We think emerging market banks could be key beneficiaries of this transition in investor preferences. We expect a ...
Tellimer Research Rahul
Rahul Shah @ Tellimer Research 24 January 2022
Five emerging market banks that could benefit from investors' greater value bias
Five emerging market banks that could benefit from investors' greater value bias

Iran Nuclear Deal might be now or never, but Israel friction will last

The second round of Iran Nuclear Deal negotiations since hardliner Ebrahim Raisi's election are ongoing, but expectations of progress are low. And Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps elite has both survived for so long domestically without sanctions rel...
Tellimer Research Hasnain
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 12 December 2021
Iran Nuclear Deal might be now or never, but Israel friction will last
Iran Nuclear Deal might be now or never, but Israel friction will last

The emerging market banks that can best hedge equity investors' currency risk

The USD index has risen by 5% so far this year. Comparing banks' net foreign currency position with the over/(under) valuation of currencies against their REER fair values allows us to identify banks offering the best hedging potential. Looking at th...
Tellimer Research Rahul
Rahul Shah @ Tellimer Research 25 November 2021
The emerging market banks that can best hedge equity investors' currency risk
The emerging market banks that can best hedge equity investors' currency risk