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Strategy Note / Global

China devaluation another US-China friction and a risk for rival exporters

China's fixed Renminbi rate has depreciated 0.7% in the last month, 2.6% ytd, 3.3% in the last year, 8% in the last 5 years.Related readingGeopolitics after Covid-19: US-China cold war, fragmented EU and GCCChina and Hong Kong: 'One country,...
Tellimer Research Hasnain Malik
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 26 May 2020
China devaluation another US-China friction and a risk for rival exporters
Strategy Note / Global

Geopolitics after Covid-19: US-China cold war, fragmented EU and GCC

In our latest look at the impact of the economic shock brought on by Covid-19, we focus on geopolitics. We think there will be long-lasting negative effects on regime stability, structural reform and relations with neighbours.In the same wa...
Tellimer Research Hasnain Malik
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 20 April 2020
Geopolitics after Covid-19: US-China cold war, fragmented EU and GCC
Strategy Note / Global

Frontier-Emerging Equity Monthly, January: War and Pestilence

January started with investor fears of war (Iran) and ended with fear of another horseman of the apocalypse, pestilence (China). Oil prices spiked 4% after the assassination of Iran Quds Force leader, Qassem Soleimani, in a US drone st...
Tellimer Research Hasnain Malik
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 24 January 2020
Strategy Note / Global

Frontier-Emerging Equity Monthly, December: Fund manager despair in focus

As well as our review of the month-to-date in frontier and emerging markets, we focus on the feedback from c80 meetings we have conducted with public equity fund managers globally in the past couple of months. The mood is extremely bleak as rede...
Tellimer Research Hasnain Malik
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 23 December 2019
Equity Analysis / Global

Palm oil could benefit from Aramco IPO

The Saudi Aramco IPO is finally upon us. A prospectus is expected on 9 November and a listing is planned for December. Although the process has taken so long that investors may have grown weary, the current environment could boost oil prices and comm...
Tellimer Research Nirgunan Tiruchelvam
Nirgunan Tiruchelvam @ Tellimer Research 4 November 2019
How palm oil will gain from the Aramco IPO
Flash Report / Indonesia

Indonesia: Revisiting the investment debate

Indonesia equities, measured by MSCI Indonesia, have dropped over 4% in the past month compared with MSCI EM and MSCI Asia ex-Japan, which are broadly flat, and the under-performance year-to-date is of a similar magnitude. MSCI Indonesia is on traili...
Tellimer Research Hasnain Malik
Hasnain Malik @ Tellimer Research 3 October 2019
Indonesia: Unfairly under-performing Asia ex-Japan