EM hard currency sovereign bond issuance dropped to US$8.2bn in July, a fall of 60% compared to June, bringing total issuance YTD to US$131.7bn, based on our calculations using data from Bond Radar. For the year so far, 70% of issuance has been IG an...

There are eight updates to our tracker this week. It may now take place in the second-half of August, at the earliest, when the board returns from recess. There is nothing else on the IMF board schedule in the next week (except Gabon today). Overall,...

Nitrogen Fertilizer producers are ramping up capacity utilization in an attempt to offset weak urea prices with the outlook still uncertain. Petrochemicals have fared worse than their Agrochemical peers, as they have been enduring so far an unprecede...

Read the full report here. Ecuador launched its consent solicitation and invitation to exchange on Monday (20 July). The financial terms seem to be consistent with those set out in the Agreement in Principle with the Ad Hoc group of creditors, and in...

In this Strategy note, we present our Top-5 picks for the second-half of the year and survey recent market developments. The spread on the EMBGID is 447bps (cob 21 July), compared to its peak of 721bps on 23 March, but it still remains 156bps above t...

Egypt is the most water-stressed emerging market (ex-GCC): hence, hypersensitivity to Ethiopia filling its Nile dam. Egypt cannot fight on 4 fronts (Ethiopia, Libya, Sinai, East Mediterranean): higher military costs more likely than war. Egypt milita...