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Latest articles in Ecuador
Ecuador election: Lasso will face Arauz in April run-off
Ecuador's national electoral council (CNE) confirmed yesterday that conservative banker Guillermo Lasso came second in the first round of the country's presidential election vote on 7 February and will therefore progress to the second round. He will...


Ecuador election may be heading for a surprise Arauz-Perez run-off
Ecuador's presidential election will go to a second round in April with the least market-friendly result appearing to emerge after the first round yesterday, rather than the run-off many had been expecting, according to preliminary results. An Arauz-...


Ecuador election preview: Uncertainty set to continue
Ecuador goes to the polls on Sunday and whatever happens, it will deliver a new president as incumbent Lenin Moreno is not standing after completing just one term. The second review is scheduled in April, although it will be the forward looking commi...


Ecuador: 2021 trade to watch
Ecuador (Caa3/B-/B-), on which we have a Hold, is a trade to watch next year pending the outcome of its presidential election in February, with a yield on the 0.5% 2030 of 12.9% on a mid-price basis as of cob 11 December on Bloomberg (at a mid-price...


Fixed income strategy: Our top picks for 2021
Our Top 5 picks for 2021 are Buys on Angola, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Sri Lanka and Egypt T-bills. Seven other trades to watch – Ecuador, Pakistan, Ukraine, Turkish local & credit, other HY, local currency. Global tailwinds are expected to continue into...


Sovereign defaults in 2020: Experience and lessons
We've seen a record number of sovereign defaults on bonded (external) debt this year according to our records, at least in terms of recent history, although it was becoming obvious we were heading for a record even by the middle of the year. Second,...

