At the end of January, I stood beside Murchison Falls with my family, drenched in the spray of the world’s most power waterfall, and I reflected on how much can change in a generation. Comparing the modelled outcome for Africa in 2021 with the curren...

Theriskswe first wrote about in March 2019 of domestic disruption, fiscal stress and potential negative spillovers (protest contagion, insecurity, undocumented migrants, gas supply disruption) for Algeria’s neighbours (eg Morocco, Tunisia, and the so...

Unless Algeria's succession crisis transitions into a lasting, full-blown security crisis, then the impact on the wider region – from neighbours Morocco and Tunisia to further afield in the EU or Nigeria – or rival oil and gas exporters is limited, b...