Strategy Note /
Russia

The countries exposed to Russia's economic crisis, in 5 charts

  • A week ago, a country's exposure to Russian fuel exports identified its vulnerability to fallout from the Ukraine war

  • Now that central bank sanctions collapse Russia economy, broader trade, investment, remittance, tourism ties matter more

  • We chart the most at risk developed and emerging countries where these economic links are proportionately greatest

The countries exposed to Russia's economic crisis, in 5 charts
Hasnain Malik
Hasnain Malik

Strategy & Head of Equity Research

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Tellimer Research
2 March 2022
Published byTellimer Research

A week ago, a country's exposure to Russian fuel exports explained its main vulnerability to the fallout from the Ukraine war. Now that central bank sanctions are likely to collapse Russia's economy, impair its ability to conduct trade, and invest capital overseas, a broader survey of all economic links with Russia is needed to understand a country's vulnerability.

Below, we chart the developed and emerging countries with the deepest trade, investment, remittance, and tourism links with Russia, proportionate to the size of their own economies.

Unsurprisingly the most economically exposed countries on most counts are those nearest to and dwarfed by Russia, eg Georgia and the central Asian republics. But there are others further afield with more specific, meaningful economic links:

  • Austria, the Republic of Congo and Angola have high exposure to Russian FDI.

  • The offshore financial centres of Cyprus and the Bahamas have high exposure to Russian capital.

  • Finland and Turkey have material economic exposure to Russian tourist arrivals.

Russia trade is important for these countries

Russia direct investment is significant for these countries

Russia capital is key for two offshore and financial centres

Russia outward remittances matter for these countries

Russian tourists are big economic drivers in these countries

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