Despite the dull outlook for 1H22, SCC’s earnings look set to rebound in 2H22, boosted by improvements across all businesses. Moreover, SCC’s current valuations are a bargain—trading at a YE22 PBV of 1.1x (1.7SD below its long-term average of 2.2x)—with a good 2022 dividend yield of 4.4% (against 2.6% for the SET).
SCC reported a 1Q22 net profit of Bt8,844m, down by 41% YoY but up 6% QoQ. Stripping out extra items, core earnings would be Bt7,764m, down by 44% YoY but up 6% QoQ. The result was 13% above our estimate, due to better Cement & Building Materials (CBM) and Packaging earnings than expected (and 6% above the consensus).