Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka's state of emergency could make things worse

  • Rajapaksa assumes emergency power (rule by decree, arrest without warrant, property confiscation) to head off protests

  • Higher risk of authoritarianism and split in ruling SLPFA bloc (64% of parliament, where Rajapaksa's SLPP alone is 51%)

  • Mass protests would compound the economic crisis (FX, fuel, power shortages) but so would a divided ruling coalition

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