Macro Analysis /
Global

Recession fixation is not reflected in forecasts and won’t impact rates yet

  • Markets are fixated on US recession risk but this is not yet reflected in the forecasts or market data

  • And the Fed will likely continue to hike rates until there is a sustained fall in inflation and/or rise in unemployment

  • EM investors – for now – should be more worried about global inflation risks than a possible recession

Recession fixation is not reflected in forecasts and won’t impact rates yet
Patrick Curran
Stuart Culverhouse
Stuart Culverhouse

Chief Economist & Head of Fixed Income Research

Tellimer Research
12 July 2022
Published byTellimer Research

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