Earnings Report /
Vietnam

PetroVietnam Nhon Trach 2 Power: Oil price surge is a short-term downside risk

  • Q4 21 results in line with our forecast

  • Revenue grew by 23% yoy to VND1.635bn (or US$71mn) while NPAT declined by 40% yoy to VND121bn (or US$5.3mn)

  • We recommend Accumulate on this stock for its long-term potential

Rong Viet
3 March 2022
Published byRong Viet

In Q4 21, revenue grew by 23% yoy to VND1.635bn (or US$71mn) while NPAT experienced an adverse trend, declining by 40% yoy to VND121bn (or US$5.3mn). For FY 21, the company exceeded its guideline by 16% to VND534bn (or US$23mn).

Core business earnings in 2022 might not be attractive for investors, but the company's cash flow and FX revenue will be. We forecast NPAT at VND567bn (or US$25mn), +6% yoy. However, in the short term, geopolitical tensions might push gas prices up that will make the company less competitive in CGM.

Our latest target price for NT2 is VND25,300. For the current target price with VND1,500 dividend, implying a total return of 16% as of 1 March, 2022, we recommend Accumulate on this stock for its long-term potential.