Asia

China will not invade Taiwan any time soon

  • The US-Japan-Korea trilateral is another reminder that China is losing out in the friction with the US

  • And that the opportune moment for a quick and successful Taiwan invasion is a long way off

  • Invasion bets (HK dollar or TSMC collapse) are based on very thin tail risk that President Xi is irrational

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August 21st, 2023
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