Earnings Report /
Vietnam

TCB: Capitalising on competitive advantages

  • TCB has a solid foundation to deliver extensive organic growth and continuous improvement in efficiency

  • 2021-2022 outlook: Well-positioned for lending rate competition and to manage interest rate risk in a transition phase

  • We maintain our target price of VND71,000/share and a Buy recommendation

Rong Viet
29 December 2021
Published byRong Viet

The 2021-2025 strategy marks an acceleration phase capitalising on TCB's competitive advantages: invested infrastructure, thick capital base and strong ecosystem. Its firmly established funding structure, which is backed by a leading retail franchise focusing on high profile customers, is the foundation for cross-board expansion in various scenarios.

Enabled by the potential recovery of economic backdrop in 2022, TCB has a solid foundation to deliver extensive organic growth and continuous improvement in efficiency. Besides the widening NIM and high credit growth, the financial ability of customers and good provisions buffer helped TCB deliver robust growth across the board in 9M 21. We expect TCB to have good growth when capitalising on its competitive advantages in a favourable macro environment, thereby improving its ROE with an intact top-tier capital base.

We maintain the estimated 2021-2022 PBTs of VND23,010bn (US$1.0bn, +46% yoy) and VND29,357bn (US$1.3bn, +28% yoy). The 2021-2022 book value per share figures are VND26,224 and VND32,746, respectively. We currently have a target price of VND71,000/share and a Buy recommendation. This translates to an upside of 45% from the closing price of 27 December 2021