Safaricom: Financial worries for customers offset lockdown benefits for M-Pesa and data
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Safaricom FY 20 performance was great, boosted by M-Pesa, mobile data and opex efficiencies
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FY 21 performance faces downside from arbitrage on M-Pesa, but this could be mitigated by higher data usage
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Risks include sustained arbitrage on M-Pesa P2P transfers beyond June and constrained consumer wallets
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This report is independent investment research as contemplated by COBS 12.2 of the FCA Handbook and is a research recommendation under COBS 12.4 of the FCA Handbook. Where it is not technically a research recommendation because the subject of the research is not listed on any European exchange, it has nevertheless been treated as a research recommendation to ensure consistent treatment of all Tellimer's research. This report has been produced by the analyst(s) named above (the "Analyst").
The Analyst certifies that the views and forecasts expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject, securities, or issuers specified herein. In addition, the Analyst certifies that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.