Patrick Curran

Tellimer Research

Senior Economist @ Tellimer Research

Patrick focuses on emerging market macro/sovereign research. Prior to joining Tellimer, he worked at Eaton Vance in Boston conducting sovereign fixed income analysis and spent time at the South African Reserve Bank in Pretoria. He holds an MA in International Economics at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Washington and is a CFA charterholder.

Patrick Curran
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Latest articles from Patrick Curran

Debt sustainability after Covid: The markets most at risk

Public debt has risen around the world in response to Covid, due to widening budget deficits as governments have faced higher spending needs amid lower revenues. The pessimistic argument is that: compared with emerging markets (EM), which saw an even...
Tellimer Research Stuart
Stuart Culverhouse @ Tellimer Research 21 July 2021
Debt sustainability after Covid: The markets most at risk
Debt sustainability after Covid: The markets most at risk

DSSI provides limited relief

On 16 July, the Paris Club released a statement outlining the debt service relief it had provided under the extended debt service suspension initiative (DSSI), the second round of which ran from January-June 2021. The list of DSSI participants has be...
Tellimer Research Patrick
Patrick Curran @ Tellimer Research 19 July 2021
DSSI provides limited relief
DSSI provides limited relief

Hariri resigns as Lebanon descends further into crisis

Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri stepped down yesterday after his latest cabinet proposal was once again rejected by President Aoun, saying, "I presented my apology for not being able to form a government and God help the country." This prompted ...
Tellimer Research Patrick
Patrick Curran @ Tellimer Research 16 July 2021
Hariri resigns as Lebanon descends further into crisis
Hariri resigns as Lebanon descends further into crisis

Ethiopia: Election passes as conflict worsens

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party (PP) won 410 out of the 436 contested seats in Ethiopia's parliamentary election held on 21 June, according to results announced by the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) on Saturday. A new governm...
Tellimer Research Patrick
Patrick Curran @ Tellimer Research 15 July 2021
Ethiopia: Election passes as conflict worsens
Ethiopia: Election passes as conflict worsens

Sri Lanka: Downgrade 24s to Sell as outlook deteriorates

In recent weeks, we have written that Sri Lanka’s external and fiscal balances have been building to unsustainable levels (see here and here, as well as related reading). However, as we have previously highlighted, it is unclear if all these flows wi...
Tellimer Research Patrick
Patrick Curran @ Tellimer Research 15 July 2021
Sri Lanka: Downgrade 24s to Sell as outlook deteriorates
Sri Lanka: Downgrade 24s to Sell as outlook deteriorates

Ethiopia: Debt restructuring statements still ambiguous

As Ethiopia tallies its election results (expected by the end of the week), bondholders are attempting to read the tea leaves from press releases this week from the IMF and Ministry of Finance (MoF) regarding Ethiopia’s debt restructuring under the G...
Tellimer Research Patrick
Patrick Curran @ Tellimer Research 8 July 2021
Ethiopia: Debt restructuring statements still ambiguous
Ethiopia: Debt restructuring statements still ambiguous

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Patrick Curran
Fixed Income - Sovereign
Equity
Macro-strategy
Fixed Income
Macro
Sri Lanka
Stuart Culverhouse
Ethiopia
Egypt
Covid
Kenya
IMF
Ghana