María Teresa Leiva

Capital Markets Argentina

Macroeconomic Analyst @ Capital Markets Argentina

Maria is a Macro Analyst covering Argentina and other LatAm countries, including Brazil and Mexico, since 2016. Maria is also an Equity Research Analyst, following the agribusiness company San Miguel Global. Prior to joining CMA, Maria worked as a Research Analyst at LTSB Bank. She holds an MSc and BSc in economics from UCEMA. Maria has passed all three levels of the CFA exam.

María Teresa Leiva
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Latest articles from María Teresa Leiva
Macro Analysis / Global

Argentina: Gap between official peso and ‘blue chip swap' rates now over 60%

Excess liquidity and uncertainty result in a gap in excess of 60% between the official peso and ‘Blue chip swap rates’In just two days, a combination of factors led the blue-chip swap exchange rate to exceed $110. Adding to the uncertaint...
Capital Markets Argentina María Teresa Leiva
María Teresa Leiva @ Capital Markets Argentina 15 April 2020
Macro Analysis / Global

International macroeconomic perspectives

Just days before the scheduled monetary policy meeting, the Federal Reserve cut the range of the benchmark interest rate to 0.00%-0.25%. This is the second rate reduction in less than two weeks, following US government´s implementation of tight...
Capital Markets Argentina María Teresa Leiva
María Teresa Leiva @ Capital Markets Argentina 18 March 2020
Macro Analysis / LatAm

Argentina Macroeconomic Perspectives

The primary budget deficit reached ARS3.8b during January, deteriorating significantly from last year´s ARS16.7b surplus. The negative result was the consequence of primary spending growing 50.6% yoy, more than 10 percentage points above income...
Capital Markets Argentina María Teresa Leiva
María Teresa Leiva @ Capital Markets Argentina 4 March 2020
Macro Analysis / Global

International Macroeconomic Perspectives

Just two weeks before the scheduled FOMC Monetary Policy Meeting, the Fed cut the benchmark interest rate range by 50pbs to 1.00%-1.25%, the first non-scheduled cut since the 2008 crisis. While the coronavirus epidemic has extended for over a month,...
Capital Markets Argentina María Teresa Leiva
María Teresa Leiva @ Capital Markets Argentina 4 March 2020
Macro Analysis / Global

International Macroeconomic Perspectives

While the latest Fed Minutes showed optimism regarding the US economy´s outlook, investors increased concerns about the spread of coronavirus worldwide as its effect on global supply chains has become more evident. Hence, investor flight to sav...
Capital Markets Argentina María Teresa Leiva
María Teresa Leiva @ Capital Markets Argentina 27 February 2020
Macro Analysis / Global

Argentina Macroeconomic Perspectives

According to the latest activity release, the economy contracted 2.1% during 2019. However, the monthly index (EMAE) rose 0.2% mom seasonally adjusted in December, as only two major categories did not grow. While the trend remains stagnant, manufactu...
Capital Markets Argentina María Teresa Leiva
María Teresa Leiva @ Capital Markets Argentina 27 February 2020

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