Juan Carlos Alderete Macal

Banorte

Director of Economic Research @ Banorte

Juan Carlos Alderete has 15 years of experience in the financial sector and is Head of Economic Research, responsible for modeling the main economic variables and outlook for Mexico and major economies. He was previously Chief FX Strategist at the same institution and has experience in the analysis of the equity, debt, and real estate markets. He was recognized with the Refinitiv StarMine Award as the best forecaster for the Mexican economy in 2019. Alderete holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Economics from ITAM, where he graduated magna cum laude, and is a CFA Charterholder since 2014. He has been a panelist in specialized industry forums and his opinions and research are frequently quoted in domestic and foreign specialized news agencies and sites, among others.

Juan Carlos Alderete Macal
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Latest articles from Juan Carlos Alderete Macal

Mexico: Banxico Survey – Downward adjustments in inflation and FX estimates

Banxico published its survey of expectations from private sector analysts for November. Overall, forecasts reflected significant changes in the scenario, specifically for inflation and the exchange rate. Consensus expects inflation at 3.64% at the en...
Banorte Juan Carlos Alderete Macal
Juan Carlos Alderete Macal @ Banorte 1 December 2020

Mexico: Family remittances likely to surpass US$40bn in 2020

Inflows grew at a double-digit pace for a second consecutive month, at 14.1% y/y. Despite of the latter and a more benign base effect when compared to September, the figure grew at a double-digit pace for a second consecutive time, at 14.1% y/y. As h...
Banorte Juan Carlos Alderete Macal
Juan Carlos Alderete Macal @ Banorte 1 December 2020

Mexican government presents new investment plan with private sector

This new plan details 29 projects for a total amount of $228.6 billion (US$11.4 billion), equivalent to 1.0% of GDP. Out of these, 3 are slated to begin this year, with the remaining 26 starting in 2021. This comes on top of the previous plan –announ...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 1 December 2020
Mexican government presents new investment plan with private sector
Mexican government presents new investment plan with private sector

Mexico's record-high trade surplus signals domestic weakness

US$6,223.8 million surplus in October. Imports slow down, signaling domestic weakness ahead. After a couple of months with a tentative revival, imports (+1.3% m/m) weakened relative to exports (4.8%), as shown in Table 2. In this respect, crude-oil s...
Banorte Juan Carlos Alderete Macal
Juan Carlos Alderete Macal @ Banorte 27 November 2020
Mexico's record-high trade surplus signals domestic weakness
Mexico's record-high trade surplus signals domestic weakness

Mexico: 3Q20 GDP – Broadly unchanged, highlighting more dynamism in services

We maintain our -9.0% y/y estimate for 2020 GDP. On a more positive note, services recovered more strongly than expected since the preliminary print was released, with a further revision higher today of close to 20bps, to 8.8% q/q. By their nature, u...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 26 November 2020

Mexico's central bank raises its forecasts despite prevailing uncertainty

Banxico published today its 3Q20 Quarterly Report (QR). As anticipated in the last statement, the monetary authority revised its inflation forecasts mostly to the upside. Hence, there is no convergence to 3% in headline inflation during the forecast...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 26 November 2020

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Juan Carlos Alderete Macal
Francisco Jose Flores Serrano
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