Gabriel Casillas Olvera

Banorte

Managing DirectorInvestor Relations Officer and Chief Economist @ Banorte

Gabriel Casillas (Managing Director) is currently Investor Relations Officer and Chief Economist at Banorte, based in Mexico City. Dr. Casillas previously worked at J.P.Morgan as Chief Mexico Economist, as well as at UBS Investment Bank as Chief Economist for Mexico and Chile. He also worked at the Central Bank of Mexico in the economic research department as well as in central banking operations division. He is a member of the select group of “Future Leaders” of the IIF and Chairman of the Committee of Economic Studies of the Mexican Institute of Finance Executives (IMEF). On the academic arena, Dr. Casillas has taught several courses on Macroeconomic Theory, Monetary Economics, Finance Theory, and Financial Derivatives, -among others-, at ITAM, Monterrey Tech, Endicott College, and Universidad Anáhuac, at both undergraduate and graduate levels. He has dictated several conferences about economics and risk management at the G20 meetings as well as in the US, Mexico, Canada, Europe, South America, and Asia. His academic work has been published in the Journal of Policy Modeling. He regularly reviews papers for academic journals, attends and organizes conferences and workshops. He obtained his Ph.D. from Texas A&M University, specializing in Monetary Theory, Econometrics, and Information Economics.

Gabriel Casillas Olvera
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Latest articles from Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Macro Analysis / Mexico

Mexico: 3Q20 GDP – Broadly unchanged, highlighting more dynamism in services

Gross Domestic Product (3Q20 F, nsa): -8.6% y/y; Banorte: -8.7%; consensus: -8.6%; preliminary: -8.6%. We highlight the +20bps revision to services to 8.8% q/q, helped strongly by the reopening, among other factors. We maintain our -9.0% y/y estimate...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 26 November 2020
Macro Analysis / Mexico

Mexico's central bank raises its forecasts despite prevailing uncertainty

Banxico published today its 3Q20 Quarterly Report (QR). As anticipated in the last statement, the monetary authority revised its inflation forecasts mostly to the upside. Hence, there is no convergence to 3% in headline inflation during the forecast...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 26 November 2020
Macro Analysis / Mexico

Mexico: Banxico – An unexpected pause in the easing cycle

Banxico left the reference rate at 4.25%, contrary to our expectations and consensus of a 25bps cut. We think the tone was neutral, with increased concerns on current inflation despite favorable market conditions. We believe the door for additional c...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 13 November 2020
Macro Analysis / Mexico

Mexico: Banxico – Another 25bps cut after the US election

Considering recent developments, we modify our expectation about Banxico’s upcoming monetary policy meeting, which will take place on Thursday, November 12th. We believe this will be a difficult decision. This would imply no further action on the mee...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 8 November 2020
Mexico: Banxico – Another 25bps cut after the US election
Mexico: Banxico – Another 25bps cut after the US election
Macro Analysis / Mexico

Mexico: Senate approves 2021 Revenue Law with changes, back to the House

Yesterday, the Senate finalised its part of the approval process of the 2021 Revenue Law, along other fiscal-related legislation. There were several changes relative to the Lower House proposal sent last week, which means that these will have to be a...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 30 October 2020
Macro Analysis / Mexico

Mexico: Q3 GDP – Stronger rebound than expected as the economy reopens

GDP falls 8.6% y/y in 3Q20. Despite of the latter, absolute levels of economic activity stand 9.0% below those observed in 2018 and like those registered in 2H14. Considering that the monthly GDP-proxy (IGAE) averaged -9.7% y/y in July-August, today’...
Banorte Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Gabriel Casillas Olvera @ Banorte 30 October 2020

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Gabriel Casillas Olvera
Alejandro Padilla Santana
Mexico
LatAm
Juan Carlos Alderete Macal
Macro
Francisco Jose Flores Serrano
Equity
Macro-strategy
US
Fixed Income - Sovereign
Banxico
2021
2020

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